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Moody's podnosi prognozy PKB dla Polski

piÄ…tek, 20-06-2014 godz. 11:11

Wczoraj wieczorem agencja ratingowa Moody’s podniosła prognozy dotyczące wzrostu wartości polskiego Produktu Krajowego Brutto. Zgodnie z nowymi przewidywaniami, nasza gospodarka ma rozwijać się w tym roku w tempie 3,3%. Oznacza to podniesienie prognoz aż o 0,4% w porównaniu do tych, o których agencja mówiła dotychczas. W II kwartale tego roku PKB ma wzrosnąć o ok. 3,1%.
Zgodnie z najnowszą publikacja amerykańskiej agencji ratingowej Moody’s, prognozy gospodarcze dla Polski na bieżący rok zostały podniesione o 0,4%. Eksperci pracujący dla jednej z największych jednostek tego typu zakładają, że polski Produkt Krajowy Brutto wzrośnie w 2014r. o 3,3%, a nie jak wcześniej sądzono o 2,9%.

Jeżeli natomiast chodzi o wzrost gospodarczy w II kwartale tego roku, to ma on być wolniejszy od tego zanotowanego między styczniem a marcem. O ile w I kwartale rodzime PKB wzrosło o 3,4%, to w II ma to być już 3,1%. Niemniej jednak, analitycy pracujący dla Moody’s przekonani są, że ogólnie utrzyma się tendencja wzrostowa i w kolejnych miesiącach sytuacja będzie się poprawiała.

Spowolnienie PKB w II kwartale idzie w parze z gorszymi od prognoz danymi na temat produkcji przemysłowej. W maju zanotowała ona wzrost o 4,4% w ujęciu rocznym, jednak skurczyła się w porównaniu do wcześniejszego miesiąca o 0,7%. Były to odczyty gorsze od prognoz, które zakładały wzrost w ujęciu rocznym o 6,3% i w ujęciu miesięcznym o 0,2%.

Mimo to, większość innych wskaźników makroekonomicznych daje nadzieje na realną poprawę koniunktury i wskazuje, że kryzys już naprawdę jest za nami. Przedsiębiorcy z rosnącym optymizmem patrzą w przyszłość, zmniejsza się poziom bezrobocia, a to sprawia, że polepszają się też wyniki sprzedaży detalicznej, która w maju była aż o 8,4% wyższa niż w analogicznym okresie 2013r.

W porównaniu do ubiegłego roku rośnie też zatrudnienie i średnie wynagrodzenie. Według ostatnich danych, liczba zatrudnionych w Polsce wzrosła o 0,7% w ujęciu rocznym, a średnie wynagrodzenie zwiększyło się o 4,8% do poziomu 3878,31zł.

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